<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[joel’s Substack: Research Notes]]></title><description><![CDATA[Built research models combining dealer positioning, volatility, and regime detection to analyze SPX/ES markets. Used these signals to guide trade structure, risk management, and scenario-based decision making.]]></description><link>https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/s/research-notes</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U3G7!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb0b217d1-d7b4-4c4e-9958-5e6b66f0cd82_269x269.png</url><title>joel’s Substack: Research Notes</title><link>https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/s/research-notes</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Fri, 08 May 2026 14:06:36 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[joel rosenstock]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[joelrosenstock@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[joelrosenstock@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[joel rosenstock]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[joel rosenstock]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[joelrosenstock@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[joelrosenstock@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[joel rosenstock]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Hurst Exponent Case Study Feb 2026 - April 2026]]></title><description><![CDATA[Hurst Exponent Market Regime Detection Model &#8212; Summary]]></description><link>https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/p/hurst-exponent-case-study-feb-2026</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/p/hurst-exponent-case-study-feb-2026</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[joel rosenstock]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 19 Apr 2026 22:33:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U3G7!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb0b217d1-d7b4-4c4e-9958-5e6b66f0cd82_269x269.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This model uses the Hurst Exponent combined with moving average structure to classify market regimes as trending, neutral, or mean reverting in real time. </p><p>This case study documents the live output of the model spaning the Feb 2026 selloff, the March 2026 capitulation low, and the April 2026 rally.</p><p></p><div class="file-embed-wrapper" data-component-name="FileToDOM"><div class="file-embed-container-reader"><div class="file-embed-container-top"><image class="file-embed-thumbnail-default" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Cy0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.com%2Fimg%2Fattachment_icon.svg"></image><div class="file-embed-details"><div class="file-embed-details-h1">Hurst Casestudy Feb Apr 2026</div><div class="file-embed-details-h2">31.8KB &#8729; PDF file</div></div><a class="file-embed-button wide" href="https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/api/v1/file/2c1a7a59-9fd8-4e72-9d99-d2eee0e3e9b8.pdf"><span class="file-embed-button-text">Download</span></a></div><a class="file-embed-button narrow" href="https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/api/v1/file/2c1a7a59-9fd8-4e72-9d99-d2eee0e3e9b8.pdf"><span class="file-embed-button-text">Download</span></a></div></div><p> </p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Hurst Exponent]]></title><description><![CDATA[Hurst Market Regime Detection Model]]></description><link>https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/p/hurst-exponent</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/p/hurst-exponent</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[joel rosenstock]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 22:08:47 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U3G7!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb0b217d1-d7b4-4c4e-9958-5e6b66f0cd82_269x269.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A statistical framework for classifying SPX/ES market regimes (mean-reverting vs trending) using the Hurst Exponent with cycle analysis. The model translates regime signals into actionable strategy selection and position sizing across varying volatility conditions.</p><div class="file-embed-wrapper" data-component-name="FileToDOM"><div class="file-embed-container-reader"><div class="file-embed-container-top"><image class="file-embed-thumbnail-default" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0Cy0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.com%2Fimg%2Fattachment_icon.svg"></image><div class="file-embed-details"><div class="file-embed-details-h1">Joel Rosenstock Hurst Readme</div><div class="file-embed-details-h2">798KB &#8729; PDF file</div></div><a class="file-embed-button wide" href="https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/api/v1/file/1f19ba63-826e-441c-af3e-18fc23ffc6b0.pdf"><span class="file-embed-button-text">Download</span></a></div><a class="file-embed-button narrow" href="https://joelrosenstock.substack.com/api/v1/file/1f19ba63-826e-441c-af3e-18fc23ffc6b0.pdf"><span class="file-embed-button-text">Download</span></a></div></div><p> </p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>